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Australian Constituency - by Craig Hill

Where to for the West? - Part 2

September 4th 2006 07:01
Following on from "Where to for the West?" part 1 let's have a look at the population predictions for two countries: Italy and Iran. The bottom line is that the Italians are not having babies, and we can't blame it on the fact that they're all watching the football. Italy's fertility rate is 1.2 - that is 1.2 children for every woman. Not bad for a Catholic country which frowns of all forms of contraception. Iran on the other hand as a fertility rate of 2.04. A quick glance at the graph show you how the two populations will change in the next 50 years or so.

And it's not just these two countries. The stats for the whole of Europe and Asia and equally salient. The fertility rate for Europe is 1.43 and for Asia it's 2.35.

The message is that the Western Europe is on the back foot when it comes to sheer weight of numbers and that's without even taking immigration into account, a topic we'll look at in the next post.

All data for this post gleaned from World Population Prospect
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